Bitcoin bulls are on edge. The world’s top cryptocurrency is caught in a tug-of-war between policy threats and the promise of a breakout. As U.S. tariff talks heat up, the market is bracing for a bumpy summer.
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Donald Trump’s tariff threats have thrown a wrench into the crypto rally. According to Swyftx’s lead analyst, Pav Hundal, these “tariff traps” are the biggest risk for Bitcoin in the next two months. The uncertainty is real, and it’s keeping investors on their toes.
Here’s what’s happening:
Trump’s tough talk on tariffs is making markets nervous.
The Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady, but watching inflation and jobs data closely.
If tariffs stick around, the Fed could delay any plans to cut rates.
That means riskier assets—like Bitcoin—could take a hit.
Tariff Tensions: The Market’s New Boogeyman

Here’s what’s happening:
Trump’s tough talk on tariffs is making markets nervous.
The Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady, but watching inflation and jobs data closely.
If tariffs stick around, the Fed could delay any plans to cut rates.
That means riskier assets—like Bitcoin—could take a hit.
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But the relief was short-lived. Trump doubled down, raising tariffs on foreign steel and aluminum to 50%. The market felt the pressure all over again.
Bitcoin’s Price: Sensitive to Every Policy Move
Bitcoin isn’t immune to political drama. When Trump first ramped up tariff threats in February, Bitcoin tumbled below $100,000 and stayed there for months. Only after a U.S. court blocked Trump’s unilateral tariff plans did Bitcoin start to recover, bouncing back above $100K in early May.But the relief was short-lived. Trump doubled down, raising tariffs on foreign steel and aluminum to 50%. The market felt the pressure all over again.
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Bitfinex analysts agree. They predict Bitcoin could top $115,000 in July if big investors keep buying and U.S. job numbers disappoint. Why? Weak jobs data could push the Fed to cut rates sooner, giving crypto a much-needed boost.
The Bull Case: $120K If Tariffs Ease
Despite the gloom, there’s a silver lining. If the tariff drama ends—or even just cools off—analysts like Hundal see a clear path for Bitcoin to surge. The magic number? $120,000 by June.Bitfinex analysts agree. They predict Bitcoin could top $115,000 in July if big investors keep buying and U.S. job numbers disappoint. Why? Weak jobs data could push the Fed to cut rates sooner, giving crypto a much-needed boost.
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Tariff policy clarity/reversal- BTC may rally to $120K in June Market loves clear, positive signals
Weak job data- Bullish for crypto,Rate cuts become more likely
Tariffs are the wild card: Trump’s trade policy is making Bitcoin’s next move hard to predict.
Fed is watching closely: Interest rates and jobs data are in the spotlight.
$120K is possible: If tariffs ease and rate cuts come, Bitcoin could soar.
Uncertainty is risky: Without policy clarity, Bitcoin could slip below $100,000.
Breaking Down the Bitcoin-Tariff Drama
Tariff uncertainty continues- BTC risks falling below $100K Investors hate uncertaintyTariff policy clarity/reversal- BTC may rally to $120K in June Market loves clear, positive signals
Weak job data- Bullish for crypto,Rate cuts become more likely
Tariffs are the wild card: Trump’s trade policy is making Bitcoin’s next move hard to predict.
Fed is watching closely: Interest rates and jobs data are in the spotlight.
$120K is possible: If tariffs ease and rate cuts come, Bitcoin could soar.
Uncertainty is risky: Without policy clarity, Bitcoin could slip below $100,000.
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A: Tariffs create economic uncertainty. When investors get nervous, they often pull money from riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Q: How could weak job data help Bitcoin?
A: Bad job numbers might force the Fed to cut rates sooner. Lower rates usually make riskier assets, like Bitcoin, more attractive.
Q: What’s the biggest risk for Bitcoin right now?
A: Ongoing tariff threats. If the situation drags on, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $100K.
Q: What could send Bitcoin to $120K?
A: A clear resolution or reversal of tariff threats, plus possible Fed rate cuts, could fuel a big rally.
FAQs: Bitcoin, Tariffs, and What’s Next
Q: Why do tariffs matter for Bitcoin?A: Tariffs create economic uncertainty. When investors get nervous, they often pull money from riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Q: How could weak job data help Bitcoin?
A: Bad job numbers might force the Fed to cut rates sooner. Lower rates usually make riskier assets, like Bitcoin, more attractive.
Q: What’s the biggest risk for Bitcoin right now?
A: Ongoing tariff threats. If the situation drags on, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $100K.
Q: What could send Bitcoin to $120K?
A: A clear resolution or reversal of tariff threats, plus possible Fed rate cuts, could fuel a big rally.